NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MONM CAN
Points 71.5 69.0
Total Points   140.5
Points From 2-Pointers 39.5 34.1
Points From 3-Pointers 19.4 25.1
Points From Free Throws 12.6 9.8
Shooting MONM CAN
Field Goals Made 26.2 25.4
Field Goals Attempted 60.4 60.9
Field Goal % 43.4% 41.8%
2 Pointers Made 19.7 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 41.5 35.6
2 Point Shooting % 47.5% 47.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 8.4
3 Pointers Attempted 18.9 25.2
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 33.2%
Free Throws Made 12.6 9.8
Free Throws Attempted 17.7 16.3
Free Throw % 71.6% 59.8%
Ball Control MONM CAN
Rebounds 35.3 40.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 26.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 14.3
Turnovers 8.8 11.4
Blocked Shots 2.9 4.1
Steals 6.2 4.5
Fouls 12.6 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Canisius

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MONM CAN
Total Possessions 69.1
Effective Scoring Chances 70.9 72.0
% of Possessions with MONM CAN
2 Point Attempt 51.1% 42.1%
3 Point Attempt 23.3% 29.8%
Player Fouled 20.4% 18.2%
Turnover 12.7% 16.5%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken MONM CAN
Shot Blocked 6.8% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 28.8% 36.6%