NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ALBY
Points 65.7 83.0
Total Points   148.7
Points From 2-Pointers 41.1 44.0
Points From 3-Pointers 15.5 26.5
Points From Free Throws 9.1 12.5
Shooting ALBY
Field Goals Made 25.7 30.8
Field Goals Attempted 56.0 62.1
Field Goal % 45.9% 49.7%
2 Pointers Made 20.6 22.0
2 Pointers Attempted 36.8 39.1
2 Point Shooting % 55.9% 56.3%
3 Pointers Made 5.2 8.8
3 Pointers Attempted 19.2 22.9
3 Point Shooting % 26.8% 38.5%
Free Throws Made 9.1 12.5
Free Throws Attempted 15.0 16.9
Free Throw % 60.7% 73.9%
Ball Control ALBY
Rebounds 29.6 37.4
Rebounds - Defensive 21.9 25.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 11.5
Turnovers 14.4 11.3
Blocked Shots 4.2 2.8
Steals 6.1 7.9
Fouls 12.8 14.7

Playing Style Advantage:

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ALBY
Total Possessions 72.3
Effective Scoring Chances 65.6 72.5
% of Possessions with ALBY
2 Point Attempt 45.3% 45.8%
3 Point Attempt 23.7% 26.8%
Player Fouled 20.3% 17.7%
Turnover 20.0% 15.6%
Opponent Steal 11.0% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken ALBY
Shot Blocked 4.6% 7.6%
Offensive Rebound 22.9% 34.4%