NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MONM MAN
Points 77.1 66.7
Total Points   143.8
Points From 2-Pointers 41.3 30.7
Points From 3-Pointers 22.7 26.0
Points From Free Throws 13.1 10.0
Shooting MONM MAN
Field Goals Made 28.2 24.0
Field Goals Attempted 61.1 59.3
Field Goal % 46.2% 40.5%
2 Pointers Made 20.6 15.4
2 Pointers Attempted 40.5 33.0
2 Point Shooting % 51.0% 46.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 20.6 26.3
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 33.0%
Free Throws Made 13.1 10.0
Free Throws Attempted 18.3 13.7
Free Throw % 71.6% 73.2%
Ball Control MONM MAN
Rebounds 39.0 33.4
Rebounds - Defensive 27.6 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 9.2
Turnovers 9.3 11.8
Blocked Shots 4.1 3.4
Steals 7.6 5.8
Fouls 12.2 12.5

Playing Style Advantage: Monmouth

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MONM MAN
Total Possessions 70.2
Effective Scoring Chances 72.3 67.6
% of Possessions with MONM MAN
2 Point Attempt 48.8% 40.7%
3 Point Attempt 24.9% 32.4%
Player Fouled 17.9% 17.4%
Turnover 13.3% 16.8%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 10.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken MONM MAN
Shot Blocked 5.9% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 32.0% 25.0%