NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UMES LONG
Points 61.5 79.4
Total Points   140.9
Points From 2-Pointers 30.8 38.5
Points From 3-Pointers 17.7 18.7
Points From Free Throws 12.9 22.3
Shooting UMES LONG
Field Goals Made 21.3 25.5
Field Goals Attempted 50.4 50.9
Field Goal % 42.3% 50.0%
2 Pointers Made 15.4 19.2
2 Pointers Attempted 30.1 32.2
2 Point Shooting % 51.2% 59.7%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 20.3 18.7
3 Point Shooting % 29.1% 33.3%
Free Throws Made 12.9 22.3
Free Throws Attempted 20.2 31.0
Free Throw % 64.3% 71.9%
Ball Control UMES LONG
Rebounds 27.7 36.5
Rebounds - Defensive 21.0 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 6.8 9.9
Turnovers 13.3 9.4
Blocked Shots 1.5 1.5
Steals 5.1 6.9
Fouls 19.0 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Maryland ES

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UMES LONG
Total Possessions 69.7
Effective Scoring Chances 63.2 70.2
% of Possessions with UMES LONG
2 Point Attempt 39.0% 40.2%
3 Point Attempt 26.3% 23.3%
Player Fouled 23.7% 27.2%
Turnover 19.1% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 9.9% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken UMES LONG
Shot Blocked 3.0% 2.9%
Offensive Rebound 20.3% 32.0%