NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UMES LONG
Points 62.6 75.7
Total Points   138.3
Points From 2-Pointers 34.9 34.6
Points From 3-Pointers 15.5 21.5
Points From Free Throws 12.3 19.7
Shooting UMES LONG
Field Goals Made 22.6 24.4
Field Goals Attempted 50.4 53.1
Field Goal % 44.8% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 17.3
2 Pointers Attempted 32.9 31.8
2 Point Shooting % 53.0% 54.3%
3 Pointers Made 5.2 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 17.5 21.2
3 Point Shooting % 29.5% 33.7%
Free Throws Made 12.3 19.7
Free Throws Attempted 17.3 27.4
Free Throw % 71.0% 71.7%
Ball Control UMES LONG
Rebounds 28.9 35.1
Rebounds - Defensive 20.4 22.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 12.8
Turnovers 16.3 11.9
Blocked Shots 2.0 1.7
Steals 5.9 10.0
Fouls 17.1 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: Longwood

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UMES LONG
Total Possessions 70.0
Effective Scoring Chances 62.2 70.9
% of Possessions with UMES LONG
2 Point Attempt 41.6% 38.1%
3 Point Attempt 22.1% 25.4%
Player Fouled 24.2% 24.4%
Turnover 23.3% 17.0%
Opponent Steal 14.4% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken UMES LONG
Shot Blocked 3.2% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 27.5% 38.6%