NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MONM LEH
Points 74.1 69.4
Total Points   143.4
Points From 2-Pointers 39.4 31.9
Points From 3-Pointers 21.2 23.2
Points From Free Throws 13.4 14.3
Shooting MONM LEH
Field Goals Made 26.8 23.7
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 56.0
Field Goal % 45.9% 42.3%
2 Pointers Made 19.7 16.0
2 Pointers Attempted 38.2 32.7
2 Point Shooting % 51.6% 48.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 20.2 23.3
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 33.2%
Free Throws Made 13.4 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 19.6
Free Throw % 71.6% 72.8%
Ball Control MONM LEH
Rebounds 36.1 33.5
Rebounds - Defensive 27.1 25.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 7.9
Turnovers 10.1 11.5
Blocked Shots 4.2 2.4
Steals 6.6 5.8
Fouls 15.2 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Monmouth

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MONM LEH
Total Possessions 71.1
Effective Scoring Chances 70.0 67.5
% of Possessions with MONM LEH
2 Point Attempt 47.2% 40.5%
3 Point Attempt 24.9% 28.9%
Player Fouled 20.4% 21.4%
Turnover 14.2% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken MONM LEH
Shot Blocked 4.3% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 26.0% 22.5%