NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UMES LEH
Points 61.8 71.7
Total Points   133.5
Points From 2-Pointers 34.6 36.7
Points From 3-Pointers 14.9 19.7
Points From Free Throws 12.3 15.3
Shooting UMES LEH
Field Goals Made 22.2 24.9
Field Goals Attempted 56.0 54.6
Field Goal % 39.7% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 17.3 18.4
2 Pointers Attempted 38.8 33.1
2 Point Shooting % 44.5% 55.4%
3 Pointers Made 5.0 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 17.2 21.5
3 Point Shooting % 28.9% 30.5%
Free Throws Made 12.3 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 17.2 21.1
Free Throw % 71.8% 72.8%
Ball Control UMES LEH
Rebounds 32.8 36.5
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 28.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 7.7
Turnovers 12.5 11.9
Blocked Shots 2.8 2.4
Steals 6.3 7.3
Fouls 16.3 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Maryland ES

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UMES LEH
Total Possessions 71.7
Effective Scoring Chances 66.7 67.5
% of Possessions with UMES LEH
2 Point Attempt 48.4% 41.2%
3 Point Attempt 21.4% 26.7%
Player Fouled 20.3% 22.8%
Turnover 17.5% 16.6%
Opponent Steal 10.1% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken UMES LEH
Shot Blocked 4.5% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 20.8% 23.4%