NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring APP
Points 53.0 83.5
Total Points   136.5
Points From 2-Pointers 28.7 50.2
Points From 3-Pointers 19.0 21.8
Points From Free Throws 5.3 11.6
Shooting APP
Field Goals Made 20.7 32.3
Field Goals Attempted 60.5 61.5
Field Goal % 34.2% 52.6%
2 Pointers Made 14.4 25.1
2 Pointers Attempted 38.2 43.1
2 Point Shooting % 37.6% 58.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 22.4 18.3
3 Point Shooting % 28.3% 39.6%
Free Throws Made 5.3 11.6
Free Throws Attempted 8.7 16.7
Free Throw % 60.7% 69.5%
Ball Control APP
Rebounds 28.6 44.2
Rebounds - Defensive 21.1 33.3
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 10.9
Turnovers 12.3 8.9
Blocked Shots 2.5 5.7
Steals 5.5 6.2
Fouls 13.0 10.1

Playing Style Advantage:

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats APP
Total Possessions 69.9
Effective Scoring Chances 65.2 71.9
% of Possessions with APP
2 Point Attempt 47.9% 52.7%
3 Point Attempt 28.0% 22.4%
Player Fouled 14.4% 18.6%
Turnover 17.6% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken APP
Shot Blocked 9.3% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 18.5% 34.2%