NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UMES PSU
Points 55.5 80.2
Total Points   135.6
Points From 2-Pointers 31.0 37.8
Points From 3-Pointers 11.3 23.2
Points From Free Throws 13.1 19.1
Shooting UMES PSU
Field Goals Made 19.3 26.6
Field Goals Attempted 54.6 55.3
Field Goal % 35.3% 48.2%
2 Pointers Made 15.5 18.9
2 Pointers Attempted 38.5 32.3
2 Point Shooting % 40.2% 58.4%
3 Pointers Made 3.8 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 16.0 23.0
3 Point Shooting % 23.6% 33.7%
Free Throws Made 13.1 19.1
Free Throws Attempted 18.3 25.6
Free Throw % 71.8% 74.9%
Ball Control UMES PSU
Rebounds 31.6 38.7
Rebounds - Defensive 22.4 28.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 10.1
Turnovers 14.8 10.3
Blocked Shots 1.8 4.4
Steals 5.6 8.2
Fouls 17.6 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Maryland ES

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UMES PSU
Total Possessions 71.6
Effective Scoring Chances 66.0 71.4
% of Possessions with UMES PSU
2 Point Attempt 46.7% 39.2%
3 Point Attempt 19.4% 27.9%
Player Fouled 20.5% 24.6%
Turnover 20.7% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 11.5% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken UMES PSU
Shot Blocked 8.0% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 24.3% 31.1%