NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring STJOE TEM
Points 77.5 67.6
Total Points   145.0
Points From 2-Pointers 34.4 30.7
Points From 3-Pointers 29.3 24.1
Points From Free Throws 13.7 12.8
Shooting STJOE TEM
Field Goals Made 27.0 23.4
Field Goals Attempted 58.1 61.3
Field Goal % 46.5% 38.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.2 15.4
2 Pointers Attempted 29.4 35.0
2 Point Shooting % 58.6% 43.8%
3 Pointers Made 9.8 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 28.7 26.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 30.5%
Free Throws Made 13.7 12.8
Free Throws Attempted 19.0 18.2
Free Throw % 71.9% 70.1%
Ball Control STJOE TEM
Rebounds 39.7 34.9
Rebounds - Defensive 30.4 24.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 10.3
Turnovers 10.6 9.1
Blocked Shots 4.0 3.3
Steals 5.7 7.0
Fouls 13.0 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Temple

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STJOE TEM
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 69.6 72.1
% of Possessions with STJOE TEM
2 Point Attempt 36.0% 42.3%
3 Point Attempt 35.2% 31.8%
Player Fouled 20.2% 18.4%
Turnover 14.9% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 9.9% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken STJOE TEM
Shot Blocked 5.5% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 27.4% 25.3%