NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MONM SPU
Points 66.1 66.1
Total Points   132.2
Points From 2-Pointers 31.8 28.7
Points From 3-Pointers 17.2 20.9
Points From Free Throws 17.2 16.6
Shooting MONM SPU
Field Goals Made 21.6 21.3
Field Goals Attempted 53.6 55.2
Field Goal % 40.3% 38.6%
2 Pointers Made 15.9 14.3
2 Pointers Attempted 35.5 35.6
2 Point Shooting % 44.7% 40.3%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 18.1 19.6
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 17.2 16.6
Free Throws Attempted 24.0 23.3
Free Throw % 71.6% 71.2%
Ball Control MONM SPU
Rebounds 34.9 37.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 24.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 13.4
Turnovers 10.5 11.0
Blocked Shots 4.0 5.4
Steals 5.8 5.2
Fouls 16.0 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: St Peters

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MONM SPU
Total Possessions 67.4
Effective Scoring Chances 67.8 69.9
% of Possessions with MONM SPU
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 43.1%
3 Point Attempt 22.5% 23.8%
Player Fouled 25.3% 23.8%
Turnover 15.6% 16.3%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken MONM SPU
Shot Blocked 10.0% 7.7%
Offensive Rebound 30.9% 35.9%