NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring STJOE VCU
Points 66.4 70.3
Total Points   136.7
Points From 2-Pointers 27.5 30.3
Points From 3-Pointers 26.2 26.7
Points From Free Throws 12.7 13.3
Shooting STJOE VCU
Field Goals Made 22.5 24.1
Field Goals Attempted 57.7 56.2
Field Goal % 39.0% 42.8%
2 Pointers Made 13.8 15.2
2 Pointers Attempted 29.8 30.6
2 Point Shooting % 46.2% 49.6%
3 Pointers Made 8.7 8.9
3 Pointers Attempted 27.9 25.6
3 Point Shooting % 31.3% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 12.7 13.3
Free Throws Attempted 17.7 17.2
Free Throw % 71.9% 77.2%
Ball Control STJOE VCU
Rebounds 34.6 37.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.9 27.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 9.4
Turnovers 10.3 10.9
Blocked Shots 2.5 4.8
Steals 6.8 6.5
Fouls 13.1 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: VCU

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STJOE VCU
Total Possessions 68.6
Effective Scoring Chances 68.1 67.1
% of Possessions with STJOE VCU
2 Point Attempt 37.1% 38.7%
3 Point Attempt 34.8% 32.5%
Player Fouled 20.1% 19.1%
Turnover 15.0% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 9.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken STJOE VCU
Shot Blocked 8.6% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 26.0% 27.3%