NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MONM MRST
Points 64.2 64.5
Total Points   128.7
Points From 2-Pointers 30.7 27.6
Points From 3-Pointers 18.9 24.6
Points From Free Throws 14.7 12.3
Shooting MONM MRST
Field Goals Made 21.6 22.0
Field Goals Attempted 54.0 53.1
Field Goal % 40.1% 41.4%
2 Pointers Made 15.3 13.8
2 Pointers Attempted 34.1 30.6
2 Point Shooting % 45.0% 45.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 19.9 22.5
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 14.7 12.3
Free Throws Attempted 20.5 16.8
Free Throw % 71.6% 72.8%
Ball Control MONM MRST
Rebounds 35.4 33.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 25.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 8.3
Turnovers 10.2 11.5
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.0
Steals 6.9 5.0
Fouls 14.2 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Monmouth

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MONM MRST
Total Possessions 66.7
Effective Scoring Chances 66.7 63.5
% of Possessions with MONM MRST
2 Point Attempt 43.6% 40.2%
3 Point Attempt 25.5% 29.5%
Player Fouled 21.7% 21.3%
Turnover 15.3% 17.2%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 10.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken MONM MRST
Shot Blocked 5.8% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 28.7% 24.7%