NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAG
Points 55.5 66.8
Total Points   122.2
Points From 2-Pointers 29.1 34.4
Points From 3-Pointers 19.9 22.7
Points From Free Throws 6.5 9.6
Shooting WAG
Field Goals Made 21.2 24.8
Field Goals Attempted 52.4 58.6
Field Goal % 40.4% 42.3%
2 Pointers Made 14.6 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 28.3 37.4
2 Point Shooting % 51.4% 46.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 24.1 21.2
3 Point Shooting % 27.5% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 6.5 9.6
Free Throws Attempted 10.7 13.8
Free Throw % 60.7% 69.5%
Ball Control WAG
Rebounds 32.2 37.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 26.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 10.8
Turnovers 12.1 8.1
Blocked Shots 3.1 2.2
Steals 3.7 5.8
Fouls 11.4 12.1

Playing Style Advantage:

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAG
Total Possessions 64.4
Effective Scoring Chances 59.4 67.1
% of Possessions with WAG
2 Point Attempt 39.1% 49.0%
3 Point Attempt 33.3% 27.7%
Player Fouled 18.8% 17.7%
Turnover 18.8% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAG
Shot Blocked 3.9% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 21.2% 30.0%