NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring STJOE RICH
Points 69.9 69.9
Total Points   139.8
Points From 2-Pointers 30.3 36.7
Points From 3-Pointers 29.2 22.5
Points From Free Throws 10.4 10.7
Shooting STJOE RICH
Field Goals Made 24.9 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 59.8 57.3
Field Goal % 41.6% 45.1%
2 Pointers Made 15.1 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 30.8 36.0
2 Point Shooting % 49.1% 51.0%
3 Pointers Made 9.7 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 29.0 21.3
3 Point Shooting % 33.6% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 10.4 10.7
Free Throws Attempted 14.5 14.9
Free Throw % 71.9% 71.6%
Ball Control STJOE RICH
Rebounds 37.7 32.9
Rebounds - Defensive 28.2 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 5.5
Turnovers 10.0 8.8
Blocked Shots 3.0 3.2
Steals 5.0 6.0
Fouls 12.8 12.1

Playing Style Advantage: St Josephs

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STJOE RICH
Total Possessions 69.2
Effective Scoring Chances 68.7 65.9
% of Possessions with STJOE RICH
2 Point Attempt 38.5% 47.4%
3 Point Attempt 36.2% 28.1%
Player Fouled 17.4% 18.5%
Turnover 14.5% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken STJOE RICH
Shot Blocked 5.7% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 25.8% 16.3%