NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FAIR
Points 58.4 79.8
Total Points   138.3
Points From 2-Pointers 31.2 37.7
Points From 3-Pointers 21.5 30.6
Points From Free Throws 5.8 11.5
Shooting FAIR
Field Goals Made 22.7 29.0
Field Goals Attempted 52.0 59.8
Field Goal % 43.7% 48.5%
2 Pointers Made 15.6 18.8
2 Pointers Attempted 28.8 34.6
2 Point Shooting % 54.2% 54.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 10.2
3 Pointers Attempted 23.3 25.2
3 Point Shooting % 30.7% 40.5%
Free Throws Made 5.8 11.5
Free Throws Attempted 9.5 15.6
Free Throw % 60.7% 74.0%
Ball Control FAIR
Rebounds 29.7 34.6
Rebounds - Defensive 23.0 24.6
Rebounds - Offensive 6.7 10.0
Turnovers 15.9 8.5
Blocked Shots 2.8 1.9
Steals 4.5 9.0
Fouls 12.2 10.9

Playing Style Advantage:

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FAIR
Total Possessions 67.9
Effective Scoring Chances 58.7 69.4
% of Possessions with FAIR
2 Point Attempt 38.1% 43.8%
3 Point Attempt 30.9% 31.9%
Player Fouled 16.1% 18.0%
Turnover 23.4% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 13.3% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken FAIR
Shot Blocked 3.1% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 21.5% 30.2%