NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring
Points 57.5 65.0
Total Points   122.4
Points From 2-Pointers 32.1 30.7
Points From 3-Pointers 18.1 23.4
Points From Free Throws 7.2 10.9
Shooting
Field Goals Made 22.1 23.1
Field Goals Attempted 52.1 56.7
Field Goal % 42.4% 40.8%
2 Pointers Made 16.1 15.3
2 Pointers Attempted 35.7 37.9
2 Point Shooting % 44.9% 40.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 16.4 18.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 41.5%
Free Throws Made 7.2 10.9
Free Throws Attempted 11.9 15.8
Free Throw % 60.7% 68.9%
Ball Control
Rebounds 31.4 37.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.1 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.3 12.0
Turnovers 14.6 11.7
Blocked Shots 3.4 4.2
Steals 5.3 7.2
Fouls 13.2 12.3

Playing Style Advantage:

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats
Total Possessions 66.8
Effective Scoring Chances 59.5 67.1
% of Possessions with
2 Point Attempt 47.1% 47.3%
3 Point Attempt 21.6% 23.4%
Player Fouled 18.4% 19.8%
Turnover 21.9% 17.5%
Opponent Steal 10.7% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken
Shot Blocked 7.5% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 22.7% 33.2%