NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MONM PRIN
Points 70.0 77.0
Total Points   147.0
Points From 2-Pointers 38.6 27.3
Points From 3-Pointers 20.5 35.0
Points From Free Throws 10.8 14.7
Shooting MONM PRIN
Field Goals Made 26.2 25.3
Field Goals Attempted 57.6 56.5
Field Goal % 45.4% 44.9%
2 Pointers Made 19.3 13.7
2 Pointers Attempted 36.7 24.6
2 Point Shooting % 52.7% 55.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 11.7
3 Pointers Attempted 20.9 31.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.7% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 10.8 14.7
Free Throws Attempted 15.1 18.7
Free Throw % 71.6% 78.3%
Ball Control MONM PRIN
Rebounds 34.5 32.7
Rebounds - Defensive 25.4 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 7.8
Turnovers 8.9 7.5
Blocked Shots 2.8 1.4
Steals 4.5 4.7
Fouls 15.6 12.2

Playing Style Advantage: Monmouth

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MONM PRIN
Total Possessions 67.2
Effective Scoring Chances 67.3 67.5
% of Possessions with MONM PRIN
2 Point Attempt 47.8% 32.4%
3 Point Attempt 27.2% 41.8%
Player Fouled 18.1% 23.1%
Turnover 13.3% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken MONM PRIN
Shot Blocked 2.4% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 26.7% 23.4%