NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RAD CHAR
Points 64.0 70.8
Total Points   134.8
Points From 2-Pointers 35.5 36.0
Points From 3-Pointers 18.1 20.1
Points From Free Throws 10.4 14.6
Shooting RAD CHAR
Field Goals Made 23.8 24.7
Field Goals Attempted 57.5 54.1
Field Goal % 41.4% 45.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 38.7 32.0
2 Point Shooting % 45.9% 56.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 18.8 22.1
3 Point Shooting % 32.2% 30.3%
Free Throws Made 10.4 14.6
Free Throws Attempted 14.1 19.5
Free Throw % 73.7% 75.2%
Ball Control RAD CHAR
Rebounds 33.2 34.3
Rebounds - Defensive 22.7 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 9.3
Turnovers 8.5 7.7
Blocked Shots 2.7 2.9
Steals 4.3 3.8
Fouls 15.0 11.9

Playing Style Advantage: Radford

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RAD CHAR
Total Possessions 64.3
Effective Scoring Chances 66.3 65.8
% of Possessions with RAD CHAR
2 Point Attempt 50.9% 42.9%
3 Point Attempt 24.7% 29.6%
Player Fouled 18.5% 23.3%
Turnover 13.3% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken RAD CHAR
Shot Blocked 5.5% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 29.6% 29.0%