NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NJIT CIN
Points 57.5 84.3
Total Points   141.8
Points From 2-Pointers 26.7 46.3
Points From 3-Pointers 19.5 22.5
Points From Free Throws 11.4 15.4
Shooting NJIT CIN
Field Goals Made 19.8 30.7
Field Goals Attempted 59.7 62.1
Field Goal % 33.3% 49.4%
2 Pointers Made 13.3 23.1
2 Pointers Attempted 37.5 40.0
2 Point Shooting % 35.5% 57.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 22.1 22.1
3 Point Shooting % 29.4% 34.0%
Free Throws Made 11.4 15.4
Free Throws Attempted 15.8 22.4
Free Throw % 72.1% 68.9%
Ball Control NJIT CIN
Rebounds 29.0 48.0
Rebounds - Defensive 20.0 32.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 15.5
Turnovers 10.5 9.0
Blocked Shots 2.6 5.4
Steals 5.6 5.7
Fouls 15.4 11.9

Playing Style Advantage: Cincinnati

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NJIT CIN
Total Possessions 70.1
Effective Scoring Chances 68.6 76.5
% of Possessions with NJIT CIN
2 Point Attempt 46.2% 46.2%
3 Point Attempt 27.2% 25.5%
Player Fouled 17.0% 22.0%
Turnover 15.0% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken NJIT CIN
Shot Blocked 8.8% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 21.6% 43.6%