NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RAD PRE
Points 74.0 70.4
Total Points   144.4
Points From 2-Pointers 39.5 38.0
Points From 3-Pointers 20.6 19.8
Points From Free Throws 13.9 12.6
Shooting RAD PRE
Field Goals Made 26.6 25.6
Field Goals Attempted 56.0 57.7
Field Goal % 47.6% 44.3%
2 Pointers Made 19.8 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 38.2 36.6
2 Point Shooting % 51.7% 51.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 17.8 21.1
3 Point Shooting % 38.7% 31.2%
Free Throws Made 13.9 12.6
Free Throws Attempted 18.9 19.2
Free Throw % 73.7% 66.0%
Ball Control RAD PRE
Rebounds 34.9 32.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.4 22.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 10.2
Turnovers 10.1 9.3
Blocked Shots 3.9 2.8
Steals 4.9 4.8
Fouls 15.5 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Presbyterian

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RAD PRE
Total Possessions 68.3
Effective Scoring Chances 67.6 69.1
% of Possessions with RAD PRE
2 Point Attempt 48.5% 45.7%
3 Point Attempt 22.5% 26.4%
Player Fouled 20.8% 22.7%
Turnover 14.8% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken RAD PRE
Shot Blocked 5.0% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 29.4% 28.5%