NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RAD BRAD
Points 61.5 77.1
Total Points   138.7
Points From 2-Pointers 29.6 37.1
Points From 3-Pointers 20.0 28.6
Points From Free Throws 12.0 11.4
Shooting RAD BRAD
Field Goals Made 21.5 28.1
Field Goals Attempted 57.6 58.9
Field Goal % 37.3% 47.7%
2 Pointers Made 14.8 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 37.8 31.9
2 Point Shooting % 39.1% 58.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 9.5
3 Pointers Attempted 19.7 27.0
3 Point Shooting % 33.7% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 12.0 11.4
Free Throws Attempted 16.2 15.4
Free Throw % 73.7% 74.3%
Ball Control RAD BRAD
Rebounds 33.3 37.8
Rebounds - Defensive 21.9 26.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 11.1
Turnovers 10.5 9.1
Blocked Shots 1.9 3.9
Steals 4.9 5.0
Fouls 13.2 12.4

Playing Style Advantage: Radford

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RAD BRAD
Total Possessions 66.9
Effective Scoring Chances 67.7 68.9
% of Possessions with RAD BRAD
2 Point Attempt 47.4% 40.5%
3 Point Attempt 24.7% 34.3%
Player Fouled 18.5% 19.7%
Turnover 15.8% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken RAD BRAD
Shot Blocked 6.7% 3.3%
Offensive Rebound 29.8% 33.5%