NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RAD UNCA
Points 71.1 75.0
Total Points   146.1
Points From 2-Pointers 37.3 34.8
Points From 3-Pointers 21.7 25.0
Points From Free Throws 12.1 15.2
Shooting RAD UNCA
Field Goals Made 25.9 25.7
Field Goals Attempted 60.6 57.6
Field Goal % 42.7% 44.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.6 17.4
2 Pointers Attempted 39.8 33.8
2 Point Shooting % 46.8% 51.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 20.8 23.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 35.0%
Free Throws Made 12.1 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 16.5 20.2
Free Throw % 73.7% 75.0%
Ball Control RAD UNCA
Rebounds 36.0 35.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 25.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 10.0
Turnovers 9.6 9.2
Blocked Shots 3.6 3.4
Steals 4.9 3.9
Fouls 16.2 12.5

Playing Style Advantage: Radford

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RAD UNCA
Total Possessions 68.9
Effective Scoring Chances 70.8 69.8
% of Possessions with RAD UNCA
2 Point Attempt 48.7% 42.1%
3 Point Attempt 25.4% 29.6%
Player Fouled 18.1% 23.5%
Turnover 13.9% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken RAD UNCA
Shot Blocked 6.1% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 31.2% 29.1%