NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UCRV ORE
Points 66.2 82.7
Total Points   148.9
Points From 2-Pointers 29.5 45.9
Points From 3-Pointers 24.9 21.7
Points From Free Throws 11.8 15.2
Shooting UCRV ORE
Field Goals Made 23.0 30.2
Field Goals Attempted 60.4 56.1
Field Goal % 38.2% 53.7%
2 Pointers Made 14.7 22.9
2 Pointers Attempted 34.5 36.3
2 Point Shooting % 42.7% 63.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 25.9 19.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.1% 36.4%
Free Throws Made 11.8 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 16.5 20.8
Free Throw % 71.1% 72.9%
Ball Control UCRV ORE
Rebounds 31.5 37.5
Rebounds - Defensive 21.8 29.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 7.6
Turnovers 9.4 8.4
Blocked Shots 1.2 4.1
Steals 4.2 4.8
Fouls 16.7 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: UC Riverside

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UCRV ORE
Total Possessions 69.8
Effective Scoring Chances 70.1 69.0
% of Possessions with UCRV ORE
2 Point Attempt 42.5% 46.6%
3 Point Attempt 31.9% 25.5%
Player Fouled 19.7% 23.9%
Turnover 13.4% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken UCRV ORE
Shot Blocked 7.4% 2.0%
Offensive Rebound 24.4% 25.8%