NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RAD GASO
Points 75.6 76.2
Total Points   151.8
Points From 2-Pointers 37.8 34.3
Points From 3-Pointers 21.2 30.1
Points From Free Throws 16.6 11.8
Shooting RAD GASO
Field Goals Made 26.0 27.2
Field Goals Attempted 58.5 61.9
Field Goal % 44.4% 43.9%
2 Pointers Made 18.9 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 38.8 33.0
2 Point Shooting % 48.8% 52.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 10.0
3 Pointers Attempted 19.8 28.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 16.6 11.8
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 16.5
Free Throw % 73.7% 71.5%
Ball Control RAD GASO
Rebounds 37.3 35.4
Rebounds - Defensive 25.3 23.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 11.8
Turnovers 10.1 9.9
Blocked Shots 3.6 4.0
Steals 5.1 4.6
Fouls 13.4 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Radford

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RAD GASO
Total Possessions 70.3
Effective Scoring Chances 72.3 72.2
% of Possessions with RAD GASO
2 Point Attempt 46.2% 39.5%
3 Point Attempt 23.5% 34.6%
Player Fouled 22.5% 19.1%
Turnover 14.3% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken RAD GASO
Shot Blocked 6.6% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 33.7% 31.8%