NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NJIT FGCU
Points 64.6 72.1
Total Points   136.6
Points From 2-Pointers 28.3 37.3
Points From 3-Pointers 24.6 22.6
Points From Free Throws 11.7 12.2
Shooting NJIT FGCU
Field Goals Made 22.3 26.2
Field Goals Attempted 57.8 56.1
Field Goal % 38.6% 46.7%
2 Pointers Made 14.1 18.6
2 Pointers Attempted 31.9 34.9
2 Point Shooting % 44.4% 53.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 25.9 21.2
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 11.7 12.2
Free Throws Attempted 16.2 17.9
Free Throw % 72.1% 68.1%
Ball Control NJIT FGCU
Rebounds 32.6 38.3
Rebounds - Defensive 23.0 28.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 10.2
Turnovers 9.4 10.2
Blocked Shots 2.5 3.3
Steals 6.3 5.5
Fouls 14.7 12.3

Playing Style Advantage: NJIT

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NJIT FGCU
Total Possessions 67.4
Effective Scoring Chances 67.6 67.4
% of Possessions with NJIT FGCU
2 Point Attempt 40.7% 44.4%
3 Point Attempt 33.1% 27.0%
Player Fouled 18.2% 21.9%
Turnover 13.9% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken NJIT FGCU
Shot Blocked 6.0% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.5% 30.7%