NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RAD CAMP
Points 75.5 69.0
Total Points   144.5
Points From 2-Pointers 39.2 33.3
Points From 3-Pointers 27.5 23.4
Points From Free Throws 8.7 12.3
Shooting RAD CAMP
Field Goals Made 28.8 24.4
Field Goals Attempted 61.3 55.9
Field Goal % 47.0% 43.7%
2 Pointers Made 19.6 16.6
2 Pointers Attempted 36.7 32.4
2 Point Shooting % 53.5% 51.3%
3 Pointers Made 9.2 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 24.6 23.5
3 Point Shooting % 37.3% 33.2%
Free Throws Made 8.7 12.3
Free Throws Attempted 11.8 17.2
Free Throw % 73.7% 71.6%
Ball Control RAD CAMP
Rebounds 37.0 31.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.9 23.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 7.9
Turnovers 9.3 9.5
Blocked Shots 4.0 1.6
Steals 5.2 4.1
Fouls 14.8 11.4

Playing Style Advantage: Radford

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RAD CAMP
Total Possessions 67.5
Effective Scoring Chances 69.3 65.9
% of Possessions with RAD CAMP
2 Point Attempt 46.3% 42.1%
3 Point Attempt 31.1% 30.5%
Player Fouled 16.9% 21.9%
Turnover 13.7% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken RAD CAMP
Shot Blocked 3.0% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 32.3% 23.4%