NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NJIT KENN
Points 75.1 80.7
Total Points   155.8
Points From 2-Pointers 31.6 38.6
Points From 3-Pointers 25.0 24.5
Points From Free Throws 18.4 17.6
Shooting NJIT KENN
Field Goals Made 24.2 27.5
Field Goals Attempted 59.6 60.2
Field Goal % 40.5% 45.7%
2 Pointers Made 15.8 19.3
2 Pointers Attempted 34.7 34.7
2 Point Shooting % 45.6% 55.7%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 25.0 25.5
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 32.1%
Free Throws Made 18.4 17.6
Free Throws Attempted 25.6 26.2
Free Throw % 72.1% 67.1%
Ball Control NJIT KENN
Rebounds 37.2 39.6
Rebounds - Defensive 26.2 28.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 11.4
Turnovers 10.7 10.1
Blocked Shots 3.7 4.0
Steals 6.4 5.7
Fouls 18.8 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: NJIT

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NJIT KENN
Total Possessions 74.7
Effective Scoring Chances 75.0 76.0
% of Possessions with NJIT KENN
2 Point Attempt 39.7% 39.6%
3 Point Attempt 28.6% 29.1%
Player Fouled 22.4% 25.2%
Turnover 14.3% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken NJIT KENN
Shot Blocked 6.8% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 28.1% 30.3%