NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NJIT ALBY
Points 74.9 81.5
Total Points   156.4
Points From 2-Pointers 42.2 42.0
Points From 3-Pointers 15.9 23.1
Points From Free Throws 16.8 16.4
Shooting NJIT ALBY
Field Goals Made 26.4 28.7
Field Goals Attempted 60.4 60.8
Field Goal % 43.7% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made 21.1 21.0
2 Pointers Attempted 40.8 38.1
2 Point Shooting % 51.7% 55.1%
3 Pointers Made 5.3 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 19.7 22.7
3 Point Shooting % 27.0% 33.9%
Free Throws Made 16.8 16.4
Free Throws Attempted 23.3 22.2
Free Throw % 72.1% 73.9%
Ball Control NJIT ALBY
Rebounds 34.7 38.0
Rebounds - Defensive 23.5 26.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 11.6
Turnovers 10.3 11.1
Blocked Shots 3.9 3.0
Steals 7.0 6.3
Fouls 15.6 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Albany

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NJIT ALBY
Total Possessions 73.9
Effective Scoring Chances 74.8 74.4
% of Possessions with NJIT ALBY
2 Point Attempt 47.2% 43.7%
3 Point Attempt 22.8% 26.0%
Player Fouled 21.3% 21.2%
Turnover 14.0% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken NJIT ALBY
Shot Blocked 5.1% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 29.9% 33.1%