NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UCRV WASH
Points 71.2 86.7
Total Points   157.9
Points From 2-Pointers 33.1 47.6
Points From 3-Pointers 24.9 23.7
Points From Free Throws 13.2 15.4
Shooting UCRV WASH
Field Goals Made 24.9 31.7
Field Goals Attempted 65.1 57.5
Field Goal % 38.2% 55.1%
2 Pointers Made 16.6 23.8
2 Pointers Attempted 39.3 37.4
2 Point Shooting % 42.2% 63.6%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 25.8 20.1
3 Point Shooting % 32.1% 39.2%
Free Throws Made 13.2 15.4
Free Throws Attempted 18.5 21.6
Free Throw % 71.1% 71.5%
Ball Control UCRV WASH
Rebounds 34.2 38.3
Rebounds - Defensive 22.8 31.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 6.8
Turnovers 8.7 9.4
Blocked Shots 1.2 3.8
Steals 4.9 4.0
Fouls 17.6 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: UC Riverside

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UCRV WASH
Total Possessions 73.5
Effective Scoring Chances 76.2 70.8
% of Possessions with UCRV WASH
2 Point Attempt 45.5% 46.3%
3 Point Attempt 29.9% 24.9%
Player Fouled 20.2% 24.0%
Turnover 11.8% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 5.4% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken UCRV WASH
Shot Blocked 6.7% 1.8%
Offensive Rebound 26.5% 22.8%