NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RAD VMI
Points 80.2 65.8
Total Points   146.0
Points From 2-Pointers 44.4 36.5
Points From 3-Pointers 22.9 19.0
Points From Free Throws 12.9 10.3
Shooting RAD VMI
Field Goals Made 29.8 24.6
Field Goals Attempted 63.7 61.2
Field Goal % 46.8% 40.2%
2 Pointers Made 22.2 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 42.8 38.7
2 Point Shooting % 51.9% 47.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 20.9 22.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.4% 28.2%
Free Throws Made 12.9 10.3
Free Throws Attempted 17.5 14.6
Free Throw % 73.7% 70.4%
Ball Control RAD VMI
Rebounds 40.1 35.0
Rebounds - Defensive 28.9 25.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 9.7
Turnovers 9.1 12.1
Blocked Shots 3.7 2.0
Steals 6.8 3.8
Fouls 13.3 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: VMI

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RAD VMI
Total Possessions 72.7
Effective Scoring Chances 74.8 70.3
% of Possessions with RAD VMI
2 Point Attempt 50.5% 46.1%
3 Point Attempt 24.7% 26.8%
Player Fouled 18.1% 18.2%
Turnover 12.5% 16.7%
Opponent Steal 5.2% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken RAD VMI
Shot Blocked 3.3% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 30.7% 25.1%