NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UCRV CALBA
Points 68.4 69.9
Total Points   138.3
Points From 2-Pointers 38.7 35.4
Points From 3-Pointers 18.8 20.1
Points From Free Throws 10.9 14.4
Shooting UCRV CALBA
Field Goals Made 25.6 24.4
Field Goals Attempted 59.3 54.7
Field Goal % 43.2% 44.6%
2 Pointers Made 19.3 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 41.1 35.3
2 Point Shooting % 47.1% 50.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 18.2 19.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 34.6%
Free Throws Made 10.9 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 15.3 20.7
Free Throw % 71.1% 69.6%
Ball Control UCRV CALBA
Rebounds 33.3 36.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 27.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 9.1
Turnovers 7.3 9.0
Blocked Shots 1.4 2.3
Steals 4.2 2.6
Fouls 15.7 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Cal Baptist

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UCRV CALBA
Total Possessions 67.6
Effective Scoring Chances 68.6 67.7
% of Possessions with UCRV CALBA
2 Point Attempt 53.5% 45.7%
3 Point Attempt 23.7% 25.1%
Player Fouled 20.9% 23.3%
Turnover 10.9% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 3.8% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken UCRV CALBA
Shot Blocked 4.3% 2.4%
Offensive Rebound 23.0% 26.6%