NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NJIT LAF
Points 63.3 65.9
Total Points   129.2
Points From 2-Pointers 27.7 33.8
Points From 3-Pointers 22.2 20.5
Points From Free Throws 13.4 11.6
Shooting NJIT LAF
Field Goals Made 21.2 23.7
Field Goals Attempted 58.1 57.0
Field Goal % 36.5% 41.6%
2 Pointers Made 13.9 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 34.5 35.0
2 Point Shooting % 40.2% 48.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 23.7 22.0
3 Point Shooting % 31.2% 31.1%
Free Throws Made 13.4 11.6
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 17.0
Free Throw % 72.1% 68.2%
Ball Control NJIT LAF
Rebounds 37.7 37.7
Rebounds - Defensive 26.8 28.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 9.3
Turnovers 9.5 9.9
Blocked Shots 3.6 4.2
Steals 5.9 5.4
Fouls 14.7 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: NJIT

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NJIT LAF
Total Possessions 67.9
Effective Scoring Chances 69.3 67.2
% of Possessions with NJIT LAF
2 Point Attempt 42.8% 44.5%
3 Point Attempt 29.4% 28.0%
Player Fouled 20.0% 21.7%
Turnover 14.0% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken NJIT LAF
Shot Blocked 7.5% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 27.7% 25.7%