NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UCRV CSN
Points 72.0 76.0
Total Points   148.0
Points From 2-Pointers 26.5 46.4
Points From 3-Pointers 29.8 14.8
Points From Free Throws 15.7 14.8
Shooting UCRV CSN
Field Goals Made 23.2 28.1
Field Goals Attempted 61.6 56.6
Field Goal % 37.6% 49.7%
2 Pointers Made 13.2 23.2
2 Pointers Attempted 30.4 41.9
2 Point Shooting % 43.6% 55.4%
3 Pointers Made 9.9 4.9
3 Pointers Attempted 31.3 14.7
3 Point Shooting % 31.8% 33.4%
Free Throws Made 15.7 14.8
Free Throws Attempted 22.1 21.8
Free Throw % 71.1% 67.7%
Ball Control UCRV CSN
Rebounds 35.5 39.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 31.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 8.2
Turnovers 9.4 11.3
Blocked Shots 1.4 3.1
Steals 6.1 4.5
Fouls 17.1 18.2

Playing Style Advantage: UC Riverside

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UCRV CSN
Total Possessions 73.5
Effective Scoring Chances 75.1 70.4
% of Possessions with UCRV CSN
2 Point Attempt 35.4% 50.9%
3 Point Attempt 36.5% 17.9%
Player Fouled 24.8% 23.3%
Turnover 12.8% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken UCRV CSN
Shot Blocked 5.6% 2.3%
Offensive Rebound 26.2% 25.2%