NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RAD WVU
Points 71.1 77.2
Total Points   148.2
Points From 2-Pointers 33.7 37.1
Points From 3-Pointers 26.9 25.6
Points From Free Throws 10.4 14.5
Shooting RAD WVU
Field Goals Made 25.8 27.1
Field Goals Attempted 60.6 57.4
Field Goal % 42.6% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 18.6
2 Pointers Attempted 35.4 33.8
2 Point Shooting % 47.6% 54.8%
3 Pointers Made 9.0 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 25.2 23.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 10.4 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 14.1 20.6
Free Throw % 73.7% 70.4%
Ball Control RAD WVU
Rebounds 33.1 37.1
Rebounds - Defensive 23.1 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 10.6
Turnovers 9.3 9.2
Blocked Shots 3.3 3.1
Steals 5.2 3.3
Fouls 16.1 11.6

Playing Style Advantage: Radford

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RAD WVU
Total Possessions 68.6
Effective Scoring Chances 69.3 69.9
% of Possessions with RAD WVU
2 Point Attempt 44.4% 42.0%
3 Point Attempt 31.6% 29.3%
Player Fouled 16.9% 23.5%
Turnover 13.5% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 4.9% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken RAD WVU
Shot Blocked 5.5% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 27.3% 31.4%