NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RAD HP
Points 71.7 80.3
Total Points   152.0
Points From 2-Pointers 40.2 37.4
Points From 3-Pointers 17.7 24.3
Points From Free Throws 13.7 18.5
Shooting RAD HP
Field Goals Made 26.0 26.8
Field Goals Attempted 59.6 60.5
Field Goal % 43.6% 44.3%
2 Pointers Made 20.1 18.7
2 Pointers Attempted 42.7 34.8
2 Point Shooting % 47.1% 53.7%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 16.9 25.7
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 31.5%
Free Throws Made 13.7 18.5
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 23.8
Free Throw % 73.7% 77.9%
Ball Control RAD HP
Rebounds 31.5 41.2
Rebounds - Defensive 21.8 26.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 14.8
Turnovers 8.1 8.4
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.9
Steals 3.8 3.5
Fouls 17.0 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: High Point

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RAD HP
Total Possessions 69.1
Effective Scoring Chances 70.8 75.4
% of Possessions with RAD HP
2 Point Attempt 53.4% 41.0%
3 Point Attempt 21.1% 30.2%
Player Fouled 20.6% 24.6%
Turnover 11.7% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 5.1% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken RAD HP
Shot Blocked 4.9% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 27.0% 40.4%