NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NJIT SJU
Points 60.1 87.8
Total Points   147.8
Points From 2-Pointers 26.8 47.8
Points From 3-Pointers 19.9 20.3
Points From Free Throws 13.3 19.6
Shooting NJIT SJU
Field Goals Made 20.0 30.7
Field Goals Attempted 59.3 60.4
Field Goal % 33.8% 50.8%
2 Pointers Made 13.4 23.9
2 Pointers Attempted 37.7 40.9
2 Point Shooting % 35.6% 58.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 21.7 19.5
3 Point Shooting % 30.6% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 13.3 19.6
Free Throws Attempted 18.5 26.4
Free Throw % 72.1% 74.2%
Ball Control NJIT SJU
Rebounds 28.9 46.2
Rebounds - Defensive 18.5 30.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 15.3
Turnovers 11.1 8.5
Blocked Shots 2.1 6.3
Steals 5.8 5.8
Fouls 16.8 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: St Johns

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NJIT SJU
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 69.8 77.3
% of Possessions with NJIT SJU
2 Point Attempt 45.1% 47.2%
3 Point Attempt 26.0% 22.5%
Player Fouled 20.1% 23.8%
Turnover 15.7% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken NJIT SJU
Shot Blocked 10.6% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 25.2% 45.3%