NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UCRV PAC
Points 79.7 68.3
Total Points   148.0
Points From 2-Pointers 36.6 36.4
Points From 3-Pointers 27.9 17.9
Points From Free Throws 15.2 14.0
Shooting UCRV PAC
Field Goals Made 27.6 24.2
Field Goals Attempted 61.2 51.8
Field Goal % 45.1% 46.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.3 18.2
2 Pointers Attempted 33.7 34.0
2 Point Shooting % 54.2% 53.5%
3 Pointers Made 9.3 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 27.4 17.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 33.7%
Free Throws Made 15.2 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 21.4 21.5
Free Throw % 71.1% 65.1%
Ball Control UCRV PAC
Rebounds 39.7 29.5
Rebounds - Defensive 27.2 24.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.6 4.9
Turnovers 7.9 10.1
Blocked Shots 1.4 2.1
Steals 5.1 3.6
Fouls 17.7 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Pacific

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UCRV PAC
Total Possessions 69.9
Effective Scoring Chances 74.6 64.7
% of Possessions with UCRV PAC
2 Point Attempt 40.5% 45.1%
3 Point Attempt 32.9% 23.5%
Player Fouled 21.8% 25.3%
Turnover 11.3% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 5.2% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken UCRV PAC
Shot Blocked 4.1% 2.4%
Offensive Rebound 33.8% 15.4%