NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UCRV CSF
Points 68.1 70.0
Total Points   138.1
Points From 2-Pointers 29.9 36.4
Points From 3-Pointers 24.8 18.8
Points From Free Throws 13.5 14.8
Shooting UCRV CSF
Field Goals Made 23.2 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 58.8 51.8
Field Goal % 39.5% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made 15.0 18.2
2 Pointers Attempted 32.3 33.6
2 Point Shooting % 46.3% 54.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 26.5 18.2
3 Point Shooting % 31.1% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 13.5 14.8
Free Throws Attempted 18.9 20.8
Free Throw % 71.1% 71.1%
Ball Control UCRV CSF
Rebounds 35.4 34.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 27.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 6.3
Turnovers 8.8 10.1
Blocked Shots 1.1 2.9
Steals 4.8 4.2
Fouls 16.4 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: CS Fullerton

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UCRV CSF
Total Possessions 68.5
Effective Scoring Chances 70.4 64.7
% of Possessions with UCRV CSF
2 Point Attempt 40.2% 44.7%
3 Point Attempt 33.0% 24.2%
Player Fouled 22.6% 23.9%
Turnover 12.8% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken UCRV CSF
Shot Blocked 5.7% 2.0%
Offensive Rebound 27.8% 20.2%