NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RAD NW
Points 64.8 78.6
Total Points   143.4
Points From 2-Pointers 33.7 37.6
Points From 3-Pointers 19.8 27.3
Points From Free Throws 11.3 13.7
Shooting RAD NW
Field Goals Made 23.5 27.9
Field Goals Attempted 53.5 58.7
Field Goal % 43.9% 47.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 18.8
2 Pointers Attempted 34.9 35.2
2 Point Shooting % 48.3% 53.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 9.1
3 Pointers Attempted 18.6 23.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 38.8%
Free Throws Made 11.3 13.7
Free Throws Attempted 15.3 18.1
Free Throw % 73.7% 75.6%
Ball Control RAD NW
Rebounds 30.5 34.6
Rebounds - Defensive 23.1 24.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.4 10.0
Turnovers 10.8 6.7
Blocked Shots 3.3 3.3
Steals 3.6 5.2
Fouls 15.4 12.7

Playing Style Advantage: Radford

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RAD NW
Total Possessions 66.0
Effective Scoring Chances 62.7 69.3
% of Possessions with RAD NW
2 Point Attempt 46.7% 45.6%
3 Point Attempt 24.8% 30.4%
Player Fouled 19.2% 23.4%
Turnover 16.3% 10.1%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken RAD NW
Shot Blocked 5.8% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 30.3%