ATS Situational Trends

Record WKU adv LOU
Season 19-12-0 13-18-1
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 13-6-0 9-11-1
Streak L1 W1
Last 5 4-1-0 1-4-0
Last 10 6-4-0 3-7-0
Home 7-4-0 5-12-1
Away 12-8-0 8-6-0

W Kentucky Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/06 Home Kentucky Wesleyan -- W by 26 --
11/09 Away Wichita St +7.5 L by 10 -2.5
11/14 Away Murray St +1.0 W by 5 +6.0
11/18 Home Kentucky State -- W by 20 --
11/24 Neutral Bowling Grn -4.5 W by 7 +2.5
11/25 Neutral Canisius -6.5 L by 8 -14.5
11/26 Neutral NC-Asheville -6.0 L by 10 -16.0
11/29 Home Campbellsville -- W by 24 --
12/03 Home E Kentucky -4.5 W by 10 +5.5
12/09 Away Buffalo -7.0 W by 17 +10.0
12/12 Away Wright St +5.5 W by 7 +12.5
12/16 Home Austin Peay -7.5 W by 1 -6.5
12/19 Away Cal Baptist +4.5 W by 3 +7.5
12/30 Home Abl Christian -5.0 W by 2 -3.0
01/06 Home Liberty +3.5 W by 2 +5.5
01/10 Away Sam Hous St +2.5 L by 4 -1.5
01/13 Home Jksnville St -5.5 W by 11 +5.5
01/18 Away N Mex State +3.0 L by 2 +1.0
01/20 Away TX El Paso +1.5 L by 6 -4.5
01/25 Home Florida Intl -6.5 W by 14 +7.5
02/01 Home Sam Hous St -4.5 L by 2 -6.5
02/03 Home Middle Tenn -6.5 W by 23 +16.5
02/07 Away LA Tech +10.0 W by 5 +15.0
02/10 Away Jksnville St +2.0 W by 11 +13.0
02/15 Home TX El Paso -7.0 W by 10 +3.0
02/17 Home N Mex State -9.5 W by 14 +4.5
02/24 Away Middle Tenn -3.5 L by 2 -5.5
02/28 Home LA Tech -2.0 L by 6 -8.0
03/02 Away Florida Intl -3.5 L by 2 -5.5
03/09 Away Liberty +6.5 L by 3 +3.5
03/14 Neutral N Mex State -6.5 W by 20 +13.5
03/15 Neutral Middle Tenn -6.0 W by 31 +25.0
03/16 Neutral TX El Paso -2.5 W by 7 +4.5
03/22 Neutral Marquette +14.5 L by 18 -3.5

Louisville Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/06 Home Maryland BC -7.5 W by 1 -6.5
11/10 Home Chattanooga -4.0 L by 10 -14.0
11/15 Home Coppin St -17.5 W by 20 +2.5
11/19 Neutral Texas +17.5 L by 1 +16.5
11/20 Neutral Indiana +8.5 L by 8 +0.5
11/26 Home N Mex State -8.5 W by 6 -2.5
11/29 Home Bellarmine -5.5 W by 5 -0.5
12/03 Away VA Tech +14.0 L by 7 +7.0
12/09 Away DePaul +2.0 L by 7 -5.0
12/13 Home Arkansas St -3.5 L by 12 -15.5
12/17 Home Pepperdine -1.0 W by 22 +21.0
12/21 Home Kentucky +14.0 L by 19 -5.0
01/03 Away Virginia +15.5 L by 24 -8.5
01/06 Home Pittsburgh +8.5 L by 13 -4.5
01/10 Away Miami +16.5 W by 9 +25.5
01/13 Home NC State +7.5 L by 6 +1.5
01/17 Away N Carolina +21.0 L by 16 +5.0
01/20 Away Wake Forest +16.0 L by 25 -9.0
01/23 Home Duke +14.0 L by 14 0.0
01/27 Home Virginia +9.0 L by 17 -8.0
01/30 Away Clemson +16.0 L by 6 +10.0
02/03 Home Florida St +5.5 W by 9 +14.5
02/07 Away Syracuse +8.5 L by 2 +6.5
02/10 Home GA Tech -1.0 W by 12 +11.0
02/13 Away Boston Col +9.5 L by 12 -2.5
02/17 Away Pittsburgh +12.5 L by 27 -14.5
02/21 Home Notre Dame -3.0 L by 22 -25.0
02/28 Away Duke +20.5 L by 25 -4.5
03/02 Home Syracuse +5.0 L by 6 -1.0
03/05 Home VA Tech +7.5 L by 16 -8.5
03/09 Home Boston Col +4.5 L by 6 -1.5
03/12 Neutral NC State +9.5 L by 9 +0.5
LOU -4.0 Open -5.0 High -5.0
Last -4.5 Low -3.5

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2841 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2.5 to 4.5 points. In these games:

  • The team like Louisville won the game 1764 times (62.1%).
  • The team like Western Kentucky won the game 1077 times (37.9%).
  • The team like Louisville did better against the spread, going 1426-1372-43 (51.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 26 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points less than the opening line.

In these games, the team like Western Kentucky did better against the spread, going 13-12-1 (52.0% ATS).

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -4.0 -4.0 -4.0
Open -5.0 -5.0 -5.0
History
12/01 06:04 PM -- -4.0 --
12/01 05:59 PM -4.0 -- --
12/01 05:55 PM -- -- -4.0
12/01 05:20 PM -4.5 -- --
12/01 04:44 PM -- -4.5 --
12/01 04:35 PM -4.5 -- --
12/01 04:34 PM -- -4.0 --
12/01 04:26 PM -- -- -4.5
12/01 03:50 PM -3.0 -- --
12/01 03:17 PM -3.0 -- --
12/01 02:44 PM -3.0 -- --
12/01 02:17 PM -3.0 -- --
12/01 02:04 PM -- -3.5 --
12/01 01:55 PM -- -- -3.5
12/01 01:50 PM -3.5 -- --
12/01 01:26 PM -3.5 -- --
12/01 12:59 PM -4.0 -- --
12/01 12:29 PM -4.0 -- --
12/01 11:47 AM -4.0 -- --
12/01 10:53 AM -4.0 -- --
12/01 09:35 AM -4.0 -- --
12/01 09:14 AM -4.0 -- --
12/01 08:34 AM -- -4.0 --
12/01 08:25 AM -- -- -4.0
12/01 08:01 AM -4.5 -- --
12/01 05:17 AM -4.5 -- --
12/01 03:10 AM -4.5 -- --
12/01 01:58 AM -4.5 -- --
11/30 10:14 PM -- -4.5 --
11/30 10:14 PM -4.5 -- --
11/30 10:05 PM -- -- -4.5
11/30 09:35 PM -- -- -5.0
11/30 09:11 PM -5.0 -- --
11/30 08:11 PM -5.0 -- --
11/30 07:34 PM -- -5.0 --
11/30 07:29 PM -5.0 -- --