NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WKU EKY
Points 77.6 77.4
Total Points   155.0
Points From 2-Pointers 42.2 38.5
Points From 3-Pointers 20.0 24.9
Points From Free Throws 15.4 14.0
Shooting WKU EKY
Field Goals Made 27.8 27.5
Field Goals Attempted 67.7 63.2
Field Goal % 41.0% 43.6%
2 Pointers Made 21.1 19.3
2 Pointers Attempted 49.2 40.3
2 Point Shooting % 42.9% 47.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 18.5 22.9
3 Point Shooting % 36.0% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 15.4 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 21.1 20.2
Free Throw % 72.7% 69.3%
Ball Control WKU EKY
Rebounds 40.9 40.5
Rebounds - Defensive 28.7 30.1
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 10.4
Turnovers 9.5 11.2
Blocked Shots 2.8 7.4
Steals 6.9 4.9
Fouls 15.1 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: E Kentucky

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WKU EKY
Total Possessions 76.6
Effective Scoring Chances 79.3 75.8
% of Possessions with WKU EKY
2 Point Attempt 53.7% 45.7%
3 Point Attempt 20.2% 26.0%
Player Fouled 19.5% 19.7%
Turnover 12.4% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken WKU EKY
Shot Blocked 11.8% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 28.8% 26.7%