NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WKU PEAY
Points 83.2 78.0
Total Points   161.2
Points From 2-Pointers 48.7 37.1
Points From 3-Pointers 17.2 26.0
Points From Free Throws 17.3 14.9
Shooting WKU PEAY
Field Goals Made 30.1 27.2
Field Goals Attempted 59.1 61.2
Field Goal % 50.9% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made 24.4 18.6
2 Pointers Attempted 41.8 36.7
2 Point Shooting % 58.4% 50.6%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 17.4 24.6
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 17.3 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 23.7 21.0
Free Throw % 72.7% 70.9%
Ball Control WKU PEAY
Rebounds 38.2 31.8
Rebounds - Defensive 28.4 22.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 8.9
Turnovers 10.6 9.5
Blocked Shots 3.2 3.3
Steals 5.0 6.3
Fouls 15.8 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: W Kentucky

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WKU PEAY
Total Possessions 74.4
Effective Scoring Chances 73.5 73.8
% of Possessions with WKU PEAY
2 Point Attempt 48.9% 43.3%
3 Point Attempt 20.3% 29.1%
Player Fouled 23.0% 21.3%
Turnover 14.3% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken WKU PEAY
Shot Blocked 5.5% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 29.7% 23.8%