NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WKU WVU
Points 77.2 79.9
Total Points   157.1
Points From 2-Pointers 39.1 35.8
Points From 3-Pointers 25.2 27.6
Points From Free Throws 12.9 16.5
Shooting WKU WVU
Field Goals Made 28.0 27.1
Field Goals Attempted 63.4 57.0
Field Goal % 44.1% 47.5%
2 Pointers Made 19.5 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 38.4 32.7
2 Point Shooting % 50.9% 54.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 25.0 24.3
3 Point Shooting % 33.7% 37.8%
Free Throws Made 12.9 16.5
Free Throws Attempted 17.8 23.4
Free Throw % 72.7% 70.4%
Ball Control WKU WVU
Rebounds 35.4 36.2
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 28.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 7.8
Turnovers 11.2 12.4
Blocked Shots 3.1 4.3
Steals 7.7 4.5
Fouls 18.2 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: W Virginia

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WKU WVU
Total Possessions 75.7
Effective Scoring Chances 73.9 71.2
% of Possessions with WKU WVU
2 Point Attempt 44.2% 38.5%
3 Point Attempt 28.8% 28.7%
Player Fouled 18.5% 24.0%
Turnover 14.8% 16.3%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 10.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken WKU WVU
Shot Blocked 7.7% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 24.8% 23.1%