NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WKU FIU
Points 82.1 73.7
Total Points   155.8
Points From 2-Pointers 43.3 33.5
Points From 3-Pointers 23.5 28.6
Points From Free Throws 15.2 11.6
Shooting WKU FIU
Field Goals Made 29.5 26.3
Field Goals Attempted 59.7 62.2
Field Goal % 49.5% 42.3%
2 Pointers Made 21.7 16.7
2 Pointers Attempted 40.9 33.2
2 Point Shooting % 53.0% 50.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 9.5
3 Pointers Attempted 18.8 29.0
3 Point Shooting % 41.8% 32.9%
Free Throws Made 15.2 11.6
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 17.8
Free Throw % 72.7% 65.0%
Ball Control WKU FIU
Rebounds 41.9 30.5
Rebounds - Defensive 30.8 22.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 8.5
Turnovers 16.1 13.1
Blocked Shots 3.1 5.4
Steals 7.0 9.0
Fouls 15.1 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Florida Intl

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WKU FIU
Total Possessions 77.8
Effective Scoring Chances 72.7 73.2
% of Possessions with WKU FIU
2 Point Attempt 45.0% 37.9%
3 Point Attempt 20.6% 33.2%
Player Fouled 20.5% 19.5%
Turnover 20.7% 16.8%
Opponent Steal 11.6% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken WKU FIU
Shot Blocked 8.9% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 33.5% 21.6%