NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WKU EVAN
Points 71.3 67.6
Total Points   138.8
Points From 2-Pointers 29.2 30.2
Points From 3-Pointers 27.1 22.8
Points From Free Throws 14.9 14.6
Shooting WKU EVAN
Field Goals Made 23.7 22.7
Field Goals Attempted 59.6 57.2
Field Goal % 39.7% 39.7%
2 Pointers Made 14.6 15.1
2 Pointers Attempted 33.2 29.9
2 Point Shooting % 44.0% 50.5%
3 Pointers Made 9.0 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 26.5 27.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 27.8%
Free Throws Made 14.9 14.6
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 21.3
Free Throw % 73.3% 68.5%
Ball Control WKU EVAN
Rebounds 38.6 38.3
Rebounds - Defensive 30.2 30.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 8.1
Turnovers 10.3 11.0
Blocked Shots 2.5 4.8
Steals 7.6 6.0
Fouls 16.1 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: W Kentucky

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WKU EVAN
Total Possessions 73.2
Effective Scoring Chances 71.2 70.2
% of Possessions with WKU EVAN
2 Point Attempt 39.7% 36.3%
3 Point Attempt 31.7% 33.2%
Player Fouled 18.9% 21.9%
Turnover 14.1% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 10.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken WKU EVAN
Shot Blocked 8.6% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 21.6% 21.1%