NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WKU MRSH
Points 77.9 75.6
Total Points   153.4
Points From 2-Pointers 41.9 33.9
Points From 3-Pointers 21.4 28.9
Points From Free Throws 14.6 12.7
Shooting WKU MRSH
Field Goals Made 28.1 26.6
Field Goals Attempted 63.9 64.8
Field Goal % 44.0% 41.1%
2 Pointers Made 20.9 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 43.9 35.1
2 Point Shooting % 47.7% 48.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 9.6
3 Pointers Attempted 20.0 29.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 32.5%
Free Throws Made 14.6 12.7
Free Throws Attempted 20.1 17.7
Free Throw % 72.7% 71.7%
Ball Control WKU MRSH
Rebounds 41.1 38.3
Rebounds - Defensive 31.3 28.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 9.7
Turnovers 12.1 11.5
Blocked Shots 2.2 5.3
Steals 7.3 6.8
Fouls 14.5 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Marshall

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WKU MRSH
Total Possessions 77.8
Effective Scoring Chances 75.6 76.0
% of Possessions with WKU MRSH
2 Point Attempt 48.9% 39.8%
3 Point Attempt 22.3% 33.5%
Player Fouled 19.6% 18.7%
Turnover 15.5% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken WKU MRSH
Shot Blocked 8.2% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 25.6% 23.7%