NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring VT BC
Points 74.7 73.6
Total Points   148.3
Points From 2-Pointers 35.6 40.6
Points From 3-Pointers 25.4 21.8
Points From Free Throws 13.7 11.1
Shooting VT BC
Field Goals Made 26.3 27.6
Field Goals Attempted 56.8 58.3
Field Goal % 46.3% 47.3%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 20.3
2 Pointers Attempted 32.6 38.1
2 Point Shooting % 54.7% 53.4%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 24.2 20.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 13.7 11.1
Free Throws Attempted 17.1 14.9
Free Throw % 79.8% 74.4%
Ball Control VT BC
Rebounds 32.0 33.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.3 8.1
Turnovers 9.0 9.3
Blocked Shots 2.3 2.9
Steals 4.9 5.4
Fouls 13.2 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: VA Tech

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats VT BC
Total Possessions 68.7
Effective Scoring Chances 67.0 67.5
% of Possessions with VT BC
2 Point Attempt 42.3% 49.0%
3 Point Attempt 31.4% 26.1%
Player Fouled 21.7% 19.2%
Turnover 13.1% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken VT BC
Shot Blocked 5.0% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 22.6% 24.6%