NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring VT FSU
Points 77.0 73.6
Total Points   150.7
Points From 2-Pointers 34.6 43.6
Points From 3-Pointers 23.8 14.7
Points From Free Throws 18.7 15.3
Shooting VT FSU
Field Goals Made 25.2 26.7
Field Goals Attempted 53.8 56.4
Field Goal % 46.9% 47.3%
2 Pointers Made 17.3 21.8
2 Pointers Attempted 31.8 40.6
2 Point Shooting % 54.4% 53.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 4.9
3 Pointers Attempted 22.1 15.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.9% 31.1%
Free Throws Made 18.7 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 23.4 21.7
Free Throw % 79.8% 70.5%
Ball Control VT FSU
Rebounds 33.2 31.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 22.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 8.8
Turnovers 12.5 10.8
Blocked Shots 1.9 3.7
Steals 4.5 8.2
Fouls 16.2 17.8

Playing Style Advantage: VA Tech

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats VT FSU
Total Possessions 72.0
Effective Scoring Chances 68.0 70.0
% of Possessions with VT FSU
2 Point Attempt 38.7% 49.8%
3 Point Attempt 26.9% 19.4%
Player Fouled 24.8% 22.5%
Turnover 17.4% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 11.4% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken VT FSU
Shot Blocked 6.7% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 27.3% 26.3%