NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring VT UNC
Points 71.4 80.4
Total Points   151.8
Points From 2-Pointers 35.3 42.4
Points From 3-Pointers 22.0 21.6
Points From Free Throws 14.2 16.3
Shooting VT UNC
Field Goals Made 25.0 28.4
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 60.8
Field Goal % 42.8% 46.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 21.2
2 Pointers Attempted 35.7 40.9
2 Point Shooting % 49.4% 51.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 22.7 19.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.3% 36.4%
Free Throws Made 14.2 16.3
Free Throws Attempted 17.7 21.6
Free Throw % 79.8% 75.4%
Ball Control VT UNC
Rebounds 30.5 39.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 28.8
Rebounds - Offensive 6.3 11.0
Turnovers 9.3 8.6
Blocked Shots 2.5 3.5
Steals 3.9 5.6
Fouls 15.4 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: VA Tech

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats VT UNC
Total Possessions 71.6
Effective Scoring Chances 68.5 74.1
% of Possessions with VT UNC
2 Point Attempt 45.1% 48.9%
3 Point Attempt 28.6% 23.7%
Player Fouled 21.9% 21.6%
Turnover 13.0% 11.9%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken VT UNC
Shot Blocked 5.9% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 17.8% 31.2%