NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring VT MD
Points 68.3 68.2
Total Points   136.5
Points From 2-Pointers 34.6 36.7
Points From 3-Pointers 18.5 15.9
Points From Free Throws 15.2 15.7
Shooting VT MD
Field Goals Made 23.5 23.6
Field Goals Attempted 53.8 54.4
Field Goal % 43.6% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.3 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 34.2 36.0
2 Point Shooting % 50.6% 51.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 5.3
3 Pointers Attempted 19.6 18.5
3 Point Shooting % 31.5% 28.6%
Free Throws Made 15.2 15.7
Free Throws Attempted 19.0 21.5
Free Throw % 79.8% 73.1%
Ball Control VT MD
Rebounds 31.3 34.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.2 9.9
Turnovers 10.6 10.5
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.6
Steals 4.6 5.6
Fouls 15.9 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: VA Tech

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats VT MD
Total Possessions 68.4
Effective Scoring Chances 65.0 67.8
% of Possessions with VT MD
2 Point Attempt 44.4% 45.3%
3 Point Attempt 25.4% 23.3%
Player Fouled 23.7% 23.2%
Turnover 15.5% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken VT MD
Shot Blocked 6.8% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 22.3% 29.0%